Cyprus.
The public debt ratio requires attention alongside growth. External demand and confidence remain important for a small economy.
BIS observation: 2026-10-20
What the pension figure means.
The table reports 288% of GDP in 2021 in accrued unfunded social insurance pension entitlements.
This values promises earned to date. It does not subtract future contributions or measure the tax increase needed for solvency.
Eurostat records accrued-to-date social insurance entitlements. Future contributions are not deducted. Coverage, discount rates, and benefit rules affect the value.
Read the pension evidence and definitions. (external source)
Protest and riot risk.
Household costs and public spending decisions are plausible triggers for local demonstrations.
The horizon is the next 12 months. These are qualitative author assessments, with medium confidence.
World Bank 2025 context: political stability 73.3/100; voice and accountability 74.2/100. These indicators do not predict protests.
Potential triggers above are scenarios, except where an official source explicitly reports an event. Peaceful protest is not violence.
The economic path.
One IMF vintage keeps revisions and projections consistent.
Real GDP growth
WEO series · 2026–27 are projections3.9% in 2024 · 3.2% in 2027
Average CPI inflation
WEO series · 2026–27 are projections2.3% in 2024 · 1.9% in 2027
Government debt / GDP
WEO series · 2026–27 are projections62.8% in 2024 · 46.7% in 2027
| Year / status | Debt / GDP | GDP growth | Inflation | Unemployment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024Historical WEO series | 62.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% |
| 2025Historical WEO series | 55.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 4.4% |
| 2026Estimate / projection | 51.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
| 2027Estimate / projection | 46.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.4% |
Historical values can include IMF estimates. India follows the IMF fiscal-year convention. Source-specific definitions limit cross-country precision.
Sources and exact series.
GGXWDG_NGDP · CYP · October 2026 vintage · 2026 estimate / projection. Raw JSON is saved in the report’s sources folder.
Accessed 25 October 2026.NGDP_RPCH · CYP · October 2026 vintage · 2026 estimate / projection. Raw JSON is saved in the report’s sources folder.
Accessed 25 October 2026.PCPIPCH · CYP · October 2026 vintage · 2026 estimate / projection. Raw JSON is saved in the report’s sources folder.
Accessed 25 October 2026.LUR · CYP · October 2026 vintage · 2026 estimate / projection. Raw JSON is saved in the report’s sources folder.
Accessed 25 October 2026.From 18 Sep 2024 onwards: official central bank steering rate is the deposit facility rate, fixed rate; from 15 Oct 2008 to 17 Sep 2024: official central bank liquidity providing, main refinancing operations, fixed rate; from 28 Jun 2000 to 14 Oct 2008: official central bank liquidity providing, main refinancing operations, minimum bid rate; from 5 Jan 1999 to 27 Jun 2000: official central bank liquidity providing, main refinancing operations, fixed rate. Source institution: European Central Bank.
Accessed 25 October 2026.Eurostat key where available: A.PC_GDP.S13PU.F63_LE.CY. Values retain their own reference year.
Accessed 25 October 2026.2025 observations: GOV_WGI_GE_SC, GOV_WGI_PV_SC, and GOV_WGI_VA_SC. The economic formula uses effectiveness only.
Accessed 25 October 2026.The report uses country-specific discussion of demonstrations. Generic warnings alone do not establish the likelihood of riots.
Accessed 25 October 2026.